Kansas City Chiefs at Atlanta Falcons — Week 10 Odds, Injuries & Prediction

Kansas City Chiefs @ Atlanta Falcons: live odds, injury report, team rankings comparison, and win probability for this matchup.

Sun, Nov 15 · 1:00 PM ET · CBS

Odds (DraftKings): KC -4.5 · ML KC -205 / ATL +170 · O/U 45.5

Model prediction

Predicted winner: Kansas City Chiefs - KC 69% / ATL 31%

Blitz Edge: why the model likes Kansas City Chiefs

The model gives Kansas City Chiefs a 69% chance to win this one. The biggest factors: KC's pass offense (#10) has a 20-spot edge over ATL's pass defense (#30), and KC's pass defense (#18) has a 7-spot edge over ATL's pass offense (#25).

ATL is also dealing with A.J. Terrell (CB) listed as out, which tips things further KC's way.

Team stats comparison (rank out of 32)

KC offenseATL offenseEdge
Total yards#3#10away edge (7)
Rush yards#3#2home edge (1)
Pass yards#10#25away edge (15)
KC defenseATL defenseEdge
Total yards allowed#12#8home edge (4)
Rush yards allowed#5#1home edge (4)
Pass yards allowed#18#30away edge (12)

Injury report

Kansas City Chiefs full schedule · Atlanta Falcons full schedule · See this week's full NFL odds and predictions on Blitz Odds