Pittsburgh Steelers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Week 6 Odds, Injuries & Prediction

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers: live odds, injury report, team rankings comparison, and win probability for this matchup.

Sun, Oct 18 · 1:00 PM ET · CBS

Odds (DraftKings): TB -1.5 · ML PIT +105 / TB -125 · O/U 45.5

Model prediction

Predicted winner: Tampa Bay Buccaneers - PIT 50% / TB 50%

Blitz Edge: why the model likes Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The model gives Tampa Bay Buccaneers a 50% chance to win this one. The biggest factors: TB's rush defense (#3) has a 19-spot edge over PIT's rush offense (#22), and TB's total defense (#4) has a 13-spot edge over PIT's total offense (#17).

Home field adds a small extra boost on top of that. PIT is also dealing with DeShon Elliott (S) listed as out, which tips things further TB's way.

Team stats comparison (rank out of 32)

	PIT offense	TB offense	Edge
Total yards	#17	#28	away edge (11)
Rush yards	#22	#17	home edge (5)
Pass yards	#16	#28	away edge (12)

	PIT defense	TB defense	Edge
Total yards allowed	#13	#4	home edge (9)
Rush yards allowed	#17	#3	home edge (14)
Pass yards allowed	#12	#9	home edge (3)

Injury report

Emeka Egbuka (TB · WR) - active - Toe injury (resolved)
Cole Burgess (PIT · WR) - out - Knee injury - reverted to injured reserve
DeShon Elliott (PIT · S) - out - Undisclosed - on injured reserve
Rico Dowdle (PIT · RB) - out - Toe
Baker Mayfield (TB · QB) - out - Dislocated right thumb
David Sills V (TB · WR) - out - Undisclosed
Josh Hayes (TB · CB) - out - Knee, surgery
Jalen McMillan (TB · WR) - out - Knee - PCL

Pittsburgh Steelers full schedule · Tampa Bay Buccaneers full schedule · See this week's full NFL odds and predictions on Blitz Odds