New England Patriots at Los Angeles Chargers — Week 12 Odds, Injuries & Prediction

New England Patriots @ Los Angeles Chargers: live odds, injury report, team rankings comparison, and win probability for this matchup.

Sun, Nov 29 · 8:20 PM ET · NBC

Odds (DraftKings): LAC -3 · ML NE +135 / LAC -170 · O/U 46

Model prediction

Predicted winner: New England Patriots - NE 83% / LAC 17%

Blitz Edge: why the model likes New England Patriots

The model gives New England Patriots a 83% chance to win this one. The biggest factors: NE's pass defense (#5) has a 19-spot edge over LAC's pass offense (#24), and NE's total defense (#6) has a 15-spot edge over LAC's total offense (#21).

LAC is also dealing with Rashawn Slater (LT) listed as out, which tips things further NE's way. Note: the sportsbook favorite (LAC) disagrees with this pick.

Team stats comparison (rank out of 32)

	NE offense	LAC offense	Edge
Total yards	#16	#21	away edge (5)
Rush yards	#10	#9	home edge (1)
Pass yards	#17	#24	away edge (7)

	NE defense	LAC defense	Edge
Total yards allowed	#6	#16	away edge (10)
Rush yards allowed	#14	#22	away edge (8)
Pass yards allowed	#5	#14	away edge (9)

Injury report

Ben Brown (NE · C) - active - Knee
Carlton Davis III (NE · CB) - active - Neck (cleared)
Christian Barmore (NE · DT) - questionable - Shoulder
Ladd McConkey (LAC · WR) - questionable - Foot
A.J. Brown (NE · WR) - out - High ankle sprain (right) - on injured reserve
Mike Onwenu (NE · RG) - out - Broken right ankle
Rashawn Slater (LAC · LT) - out - Ankle
Tyler Biadasz (LAC · C) - out - Torn ACL - season-ending
Dalevon Campbell (LAC · WR) - out - Leg
KeAndre Lambert-Smith (LAC · WR) - out - Hamstring
David Njoku (LAC · TE) - out - Fibula (lower leg) - on injured reserve
Charlie Kolar (LAC · TE) - out - Broken forearm - surgery, on injured reserve
Brenen Thompson (LAC · WR) - out - Quadriceps

New England Patriots full schedule · Los Angeles Chargers full schedule · See this week's full NFL odds and predictions on Blitz Odds