Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints — Week 18 Odds, Injuries & Prediction

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ New Orleans Saints: live odds, injury report, team rankings comparison, and win probability for this matchup.

Sun, Jan 10 · TBD

Odds (DraftKings): TB -1.5 · ML TB -125 / NO +105 · O/U 43.5

Model prediction

Predicted winner: Tampa Bay Buccaneers - TB 61% / NO 39%

Blitz Edge: why the model likes Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The model gives Tampa Bay Buccaneers a 61% chance to win this one. The biggest factors: TB's rush defense (#3) has a 24-spot edge over NO's rush offense (#27), and TB's rush offense (#17) has a 13-spot edge over NO's rush defense (#30).

NO is also dealing with Kelvin Banks Jr. (LT) listed as out, which tips things further TB's way.

Team stats comparison (rank out of 32)

	TB offense	NO offense	Edge
Total yards	#28	#9	home edge (19)
Rush yards	#17	#27	away edge (10)
Pass yards	#28	#4	home edge (24)

	TB defense	NO defense	Edge
Total yards allowed	#4	#26	away edge (22)
Rush yards allowed	#3	#30	away edge (27)
Pass yards allowed	#9	#15	away edge (6)

Injury report

Emeka Egbuka (TB · WR) - active - Toe injury (resolved)
Alvin Kamara (NO · RB) - active - Knee - MCL sprain (cleared to return)
Cameron Jordan (NO · DE) - active - Hamstring
Chris Olave (NO · WR) - active - Hamstring
Baker Mayfield (TB · QB) - out - Dislocated right thumb
David Sills V (TB · WR) - out - Undisclosed
Josh Hayes (TB · CB) - out - Knee, surgery
Jalen McMillan (TB · WR) - out - Knee - PCL
Ty Chandler (NO · RB) - out - Knee injury - season-ending
Bryan Bresee (NO · DT) - out - Torn ACL - season-ending
Jordyn Tyson (NO · WR) - out - Hamstring
Mason Tipton (NO · WR) - out - Leg
Kelvin Banks Jr. (NO · LT) - out - Severe high ankle sprain - surgery expected

Tampa Bay Buccaneers full schedule · New Orleans Saints full schedule · See this week's full NFL odds and predictions on Blitz Odds