Los Angeles Chargers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Week 13 Odds, Injuries & Prediction

Los Angeles Chargers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers: live odds, injury report, team rankings comparison, and win probability for this matchup.

Sun, Dec 6 · 1:00 PM ET · CBS

Odds (DraftKings): LAC -1.5 · ML LAC -125 / TB -106 · O/U 46.5

Model prediction

Predicted winner: Tampa Bay Buccaneers - LAC 18% / TB 82%

Blitz Edge: why the model likes Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The model gives Tampa Bay Buccaneers a 82% chance to win this one. The biggest factors: TB's total defense (#4) has a 17-spot edge over LAC's total offense (#21), and TB's pass defense (#9) has a 15-spot edge over LAC's pass offense (#24).

Home field adds a small extra boost on top of that. LAC is also dealing with Rashawn Slater (LT) listed as out, which tips things further TB's way. Note: the sportsbook favorite (LAC) disagrees with this pick.

Team stats comparison (rank out of 32)

	LAC offense	TB offense	Edge
Total yards	#21	#28	away edge (7)
Rush yards	#9	#17	away edge (8)
Pass yards	#24	#28	away edge (4)

	LAC defense	TB defense	Edge
Total yards allowed	#16	#4	home edge (12)
Rush yards allowed	#22	#3	home edge (19)
Pass yards allowed	#14	#9	home edge (5)

Injury report

Emeka Egbuka (TB · WR) - active - Toe injury (resolved)
Ladd McConkey (LAC · WR) - questionable - Foot
Rashawn Slater (LAC · LT) - out - Ankle
Tyler Biadasz (LAC · C) - out - Torn ACL - season-ending
Dalevon Campbell (LAC · WR) - out - Leg
KeAndre Lambert-Smith (LAC · WR) - out - Hamstring
David Njoku (LAC · TE) - out - Fibula (lower leg) - on injured reserve
Charlie Kolar (LAC · TE) - out - Broken forearm - surgery, on injured reserve
Brenen Thompson (LAC · WR) - out - Quadriceps
Baker Mayfield (TB · QB) - out - Dislocated right thumb
David Sills V (TB · WR) - out - Undisclosed
Josh Hayes (TB · CB) - out - Knee, surgery
Jalen McMillan (TB · WR) - out - Knee - PCL

Los Angeles Chargers full schedule · Tampa Bay Buccaneers full schedule · See this week's full NFL odds and predictions on Blitz Odds