Pittsburgh Steelers at New England Patriots — Week 2 Odds, Injuries & Prediction

Pittsburgh Steelers @ New England Patriots: live odds, injury report, team rankings comparison, and win probability for this matchup.

Sun, Sep 20 · 1:00 PM ET · CBS

Final: Pittsburgh Steelers 3 - 20 New England Patriots. New England Patriots won. Model prediction was incorrect.

Odds (DraftKings): NE -5.5 · ML PIT +190 / NE -230 · O/U 41.5

Model prediction

Predicted winner: Pittsburgh Steelers - PIT 53% / NE 47%

Blitz Edge: why the model likes Pittsburgh Steelers

The model gives Pittsburgh Steelers a 53% chance to win this one. The biggest factors: PIT's pass defense (#2) has a 23-spot edge over NE's pass offense (#25), and PIT's total defense (#3) has a 19-spot edge over NE's total offense (#22).

NE is also dealing with A.J. Brown (WR) listed as out, which tips things further PIT's way. Note: the sportsbook favorite (NE) disagrees with this pick.

Team stats comparison (rank out of 32)

	PIT offense	NE offense	Edge
Total yards	#25	#22	home edge (3)
Rush yards	#32	#17	home edge (15)
Pass yards	#13	#25	away edge (12)

	PIT defense	NE defense	Edge
Total yards allowed	#3	#13	away edge (10)
Rush yards allowed	#18	#12	home edge (6)
Pass yards allowed	#2	#16	away edge (14)

Injury report

Ben Brown (NE · C) - active - Knee
Carlton Davis III (NE · CB) - active - Neck (cleared)
Christian Barmore (NE · DT) - questionable - Shoulder
Cole Burgess (PIT · WR) - out - Knee injury - reverted to injured reserve
DeShon Elliott (PIT · S) - out - Undisclosed - on injured reserve
Rico Dowdle (PIT · RB) - out - Toe
A.J. Brown (NE · WR) - out - High ankle sprain (right) - on injured reserve
Mike Onwenu (NE · RG) - out - Broken right ankle

Pittsburgh Steelers full schedule · New England Patriots full schedule · See this week's full NFL odds and predictions on Blitz Odds