Denver Broncos at Atlanta Falcons — Preseason Week 1 Odds, Injuries & Prediction

Denver Broncos @ Atlanta Falcons: live odds, injury report, team rankings comparison, and win probability for this matchup.

Fri, Aug 14 · 7:00 PM ET · ESPN App

Final: Denver Broncos 27 - 7 Atlanta Falcons. Denver Broncos won. Model prediction was correct.

Odds (DraftKings): DEN -4.5 · ML DEN -198 / ATL +164 · O/U 39.5

Model prediction

Predicted winner: Denver Broncos - DEN 64% / ATL 36%

Blitz Edge: why the model likes Denver Broncos

The model gives Denver Broncos a 64% chance to win this one. The biggest factors: DEN's total defense (#2) has a 12-spot edge over ATL's total offense (#14), and DEN's pass defense (#7) has a 12-spot edge over ATL's pass offense (#19).

Team stats comparison (rank out of 32)

	DEN offense	ATL offense	Edge
Total yards	#10	#14	away edge (4)
Rush yards	#16	#8	home edge (8)
Pass yards	#11	#19	away edge (8)

	DEN defense	ATL defense	Edge
Total yards allowed	#2	#15	away edge (13)
Rush yards allowed	#2	#24	away edge (22)
Pass yards allowed	#7	#13	away edge (6)

Injury report

• J.K. Dobbins (DEN · RB) - active - Hamstring (slight, cleared)
• Tua Tagovailoa (ATL · QB) - active - Oblique strain (practicing fully)
• Billy Bowman Jr. (ATL · CB) - active - Achilles (cleared)
• Chris Lindstrom (ATL · G) - active - Concussion
• Jonathon Cooper (DEN · Edge) - out - Commissioner's Exempt List (non-injury)
• Matt Henningsen (DEN · DE) - out - Achilles
• Reese Taylor (DEN · CB) - out - Quadriceps
• Caleb Lohner (DEN · TE) - out - Lower Body, surgery
• Cooper Rush (ATL · QB) - out - Coach's Decision
• Jalon Walker (ATL · Edge) - out - Torn ACL - confirmed, season-ending
• Za'Darius Smith (ATL · DE) - out - Concussion
• Da'Shawn Hand (ATL · DT) - out - Torn quadriceps - season-ending surgery
• A.J. Terrell (ATL · CB) - out - Groin injury - on injured reserve

Denver Broncos full schedule · Atlanta Falcons full schedule · See this week's full NFL odds and predictions on Blitz Odds