NFL Preseason Week 1 Picks & Predictions - 2026

Blitz Odds model picks for all 16 Preseason Week 1 games, ranked into a full confidence pool ladder. Win probabilities are adjusted for team rankings, injuries, and home field. Free, no account needed.

Preseason Week 1 confidence pool ladder

Assign 16 points to the top row down to 1 point at the bottom - the model's most confident pick first.

Points	Pick	Matchup	Win probability	Spread	Kickoff
16	Buffalo Bills	Carolina Panthers at Buffalo Bills	81%	BUF -3	Sat, Aug 15 · 1:00 PM ET
15	New England Patriots	Indianapolis Colts at New England Patriots	70%	IND -2.5	Thu, Aug 13 · 7:30 PM ET
14	Jacksonville Jaguars	Jacksonville Jaguars at New Orleans Saints	68%	NO -2.5	Sat, Aug 15 · 4:00 PM ET
13	Denver Broncos	Denver Broncos at Atlanta Falcons	63%	DEN -4.5	Fri, Aug 14 · 7:00 PM ET
12	Miami Dolphins	Miami Dolphins at Washington Commanders	61%	MIA -3.5	Fri, Aug 14 · 7:00 PM ET
11	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New York Jets	58%	NYJ -5.5	Fri, Aug 14 · 7:00 PM ET
10	Minnesota Vikings	Minnesota Vikings at New York Giants	57%	MIN -2.5	Sat, Aug 15 · 1:00 PM ET
9	Pittsburgh Steelers	Green Bay Packers at Pittsburgh Steelers	56%	GB -1.5	Thu, Aug 13 · 7:00 PM ET
8	Chicago Bears	Cleveland Browns at Chicago Bears	56%	CLE -3.5	Sat, Aug 15 · 1:00 PM ET
7	Los Angeles Rams	Los Angeles Rams at Kansas City Chiefs	56%	KC -2.5	Sat, Aug 15 · 4:00 PM ET
6	Detroit Lions	Detroit Lions at Cincinnati Bengals	54%	CIN -6.5	Thu, Aug 13 · 7:00 PM ET
5	Tennessee Titans	Tennessee Titans at San Francisco 49ers	54%	TEN -4.5	Thu, Aug 13 · 9:00 PM ET
4	Seattle Seahawks	Dallas Cowboys at Seattle Seahawks	54%	SEA -2.5	Sat, Aug 15 · 8:00 PM ET
3	Houston Texans	Los Angeles Chargers at Houston Texans	53%	HOU -1.5	Thu, Aug 13 · 8:00 PM ET
2	Baltimore Ravens	Philadelphia Eagles at Baltimore Ravens	53%	PHI -3.5	Sat, Aug 15 · 7:00 PM ET
1	Las Vegas Raiders	Arizona Cardinals at Las Vegas Raiders	50%	LV -1.5	Thu, Aug 13 · 8:00 PM ET

Results

The model went 10-6 on Preseason Week 1 games played so far.

• Carolina Panthers 14 - 29 Buffalo Bills - picked Buffalo Bills (correct)
• Indianapolis Colts 13 - 13 New England Patriots - picked New England Patriots (incorrect)
• Jacksonville Jaguars 24 - 20 New Orleans Saints - picked Jacksonville Jaguars (correct)
• Denver Broncos 27 - 7 Atlanta Falcons - picked Denver Broncos (correct)
• Miami Dolphins 7 - 20 Washington Commanders - picked Miami Dolphins (incorrect)
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers 24 - 16 New York Jets - picked Tampa Bay Buccaneers (correct)
• Minnesota Vikings 13 - 10 New York Giants - picked Minnesota Vikings (correct)
• Green Bay Packers 9 - 28 Pittsburgh Steelers - picked Pittsburgh Steelers (correct)
• Cleveland Browns 10 - 34 Chicago Bears - picked Chicago Bears (correct)
• Los Angeles Rams 20 - 12 Kansas City Chiefs - picked Los Angeles Rams (correct)
• Detroit Lions 14 - 16 Cincinnati Bengals - picked Detroit Lions (incorrect)
• Tennessee Titans 19 - 13 San Francisco 49ers - picked Tennessee Titans (correct)
• Dallas Cowboys 17 - 7 Seattle Seahawks - picked Seattle Seahawks (incorrect)
• Los Angeles Chargers 27 - 7 Houston Texans - picked Houston Texans (incorrect)
• Philadelphia Eagles 7 - 24 Baltimore Ravens - picked Baltimore Ravens (correct)
• Arizona Cardinals 27 - 14 Las Vegas Raiders - picked Las Vegas Raiders (incorrect)

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