Green Bay Packers at Pittsburgh Steelers — Preseason Week 1 Odds, Injuries & Prediction

Green Bay Packers @ Pittsburgh Steelers: live odds, injury report, team rankings comparison, and win probability for this matchup.

Thu, Aug 13 · 7:00 PM ET · NFL Network

Final: Green Bay Packers 9 - 28 Pittsburgh Steelers. Pittsburgh Steelers won. Model prediction was correct.

Odds (DraftKings): GB -1.5 · ML GB -130 / PIT +110 · O/U 39.5

Model prediction

Predicted winner: Pittsburgh Steelers - GB 41% / PIT 59%

Blitz Edge: why the model likes Pittsburgh Steelers

The model gives Pittsburgh Steelers a 59% chance to win this one. The biggest factor: PIT's rush defense (#13) has a 2-spot edge over GB's rush offense (#15).

Home field adds a small extra boost on top of that. GB is also dealing with Micah Parsons (Edge) listed as out, which tips things further PIT's way. Note: the sportsbook favorite (GB) disagrees with this pick.

Team stats comparison (rank out of 32)

	GB offense	PIT offense	Edge
Total yards	#15	#25	away edge (10)
Rush yards	#15	#26	away edge (11)
Pass yards	#17	#22	away edge (5)

	GB defense	PIT defense	Edge
Total yards allowed	#12	#26	away edge (14)
Rush yards allowed	#18	#13	home edge (5)
Pass yards allowed	#11	#29	away edge (18)

Injury report

Javon Hargrave (GB · DT) - active - Knee / concussion (cleared)
Aaron Banks (GB · G) - questionable - Toe
Jacob Monk (GB · RG) - questionable - Quadriceps
Micah Parsons (GB · Edge) - out - Torn ACL + meniscus repair (left knee) - on reserve/PUP
Josh Jacobs (GB · RB) - out - Commissioner's Exempt List (non-injury)
Jayden Reed (GB · WR) - out - Back injury (initially feared to be neck)
Savion Williams (GB · WR) - out - Undisclosed
Zach Bako-Bewele (GB · RT) - out - Right knee injury - carted off with air cast
Edgerrin Cooper (GB · LB) - out - Achilles
Cole Burgess (PIT · WR) - out - Knee injury - reverted to injured reserve
DeShon Elliott (PIT · S) - out - Undisclosed - on injured reserve
Rico Dowdle (PIT · RB) - out - Toe

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