Jacksonville Jaguars at New Orleans Saints — Preseason Week 1 Odds, Injuries & Prediction

Jacksonville Jaguars @ New Orleans Saints: live odds, injury report, team rankings comparison, and win probability for this matchup.

Sat, Aug 15 · 4:00 PM ET · ESPN App

Final: Jacksonville Jaguars 24 - 20 New Orleans Saints. Jacksonville Jaguars won. Model prediction was correct.

Odds (DraftKings): NO -2.5 · ML JAX +114 / NO -134 · O/U 35.5

Model prediction

Predicted winner: Jacksonville Jaguars - JAX 69% / NO 31%

Blitz Edge: why the model likes Jacksonville Jaguars

The model gives Jacksonville Jaguars a 69% chance to win this one. The biggest factors: JAX's rush defense (#1) has a 27-spot edge over NO's rush offense (#28), and JAX's total defense (#11) has a 12-spot edge over NO's total offense (#23).

NO is also dealing with Kelvin Banks Jr. (LT) listed as out, which tips things further JAX's way. Note: the sportsbook favorite (NO) disagrees with this pick.

Team stats comparison (rank out of 32)

JAX offenseNO offenseEdge
Total yards#11#23away edge (12)
Rush yards#20#28away edge (8)
Pass yards#12#13away edge (1)
JAX defenseNO defenseEdge
Total yards allowed#11#9home edge (2)
Rush yards allowed#1#19away edge (18)
Pass yards allowed#21#4home edge (17)

Injury report

Jacksonville Jaguars full schedule · New Orleans Saints full schedule · See this week's full NFL odds and predictions on Blitz Odds