Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New York Jets — Preseason Week 1 Odds, Injuries & Prediction

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ New York Jets: live odds, injury report, team rankings comparison, and win probability for this matchup.

Fri, Aug 14 · 7:00 PM ET · NFL Network

Final: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 24 - 16 New York Jets. Tampa Bay Buccaneers won. Model prediction was correct.

Odds (DraftKings): NYJ -5.5 · ML TB +210 / NYJ -258 · O/U 35.5

Model prediction

Predicted winner: Tampa Bay Buccaneers - TB 65% / NYJ 35%

Blitz Edge: why the model likes Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The model gives Tampa Bay Buccaneers a 65% chance to win this one. The biggest factors: TB's total defense (#19) has a 10-spot edge over NYJ's total offense (#29), and TB's rush offense (#21) has a 8-spot edge over NYJ's rush defense (#29).

NYJ is also dealing with Breece Hall (RB) listed as out, which tips things further TB's way. Note: the sportsbook favorite (NYJ) disagrees with this pick.

Team stats comparison (rank out of 32)

	TB offense	NYJ offense	Edge
Total yards	#21	#29	away edge (8)
Rush yards	#21	#11	home edge (10)
Pass yards	#20	#32	away edge (12)

	TB defense	NYJ defense	Edge
Total yards allowed	#19	#25	away edge (6)
Rush yards allowed	#5	#29	away edge (24)
Pass yards allowed	#27	#17	home edge (10)

Injury report

Emeka Egbuka (TB · WR) - active - Toe injury (resolved)
Jarvis Brownlee Jr. (NYJ · CB) - questionable - Head
Baker Mayfield (TB · QB) - out - Dislocated right thumb
David Sills V (TB · WR) - out - Undisclosed
Josh Hayes (TB · CB) - out - Knee, surgery
Jalen McMillan (TB · WR) - out - Knee - PCL
Kingsley Jonathan (NYJ · DE) - out - Thigh
Tim Patrick (NYJ · WR) - out - Groin - on injured reserve
Omar Cooper Jr. (NYJ · WR) - out - High ankle sprain (right) - on injured reserve
Arian Smith (NYJ · WR) - out - Torn ACL - season-ending
Mason Taylor (NYJ · TE) - out - Thumb
Breece Hall (NYJ · RB) - out - Thigh

Tampa Bay Buccaneers full schedule · New York Jets full schedule · See this week's full NFL odds and predictions on Blitz Odds