Detroit Lions at Indianapolis Colts — Preseason Week 3 Odds, Injuries & Prediction

Detroit Lions @ Indianapolis Colts: live odds, injury report, team rankings comparison, and win probability for this matchup.

Sat, Aug 29 · 1:00 PM ET · NFL Network

Final: Detroit Lions 25 - 16 Indianapolis Colts. Detroit Lions won. Model prediction was incorrect.

Odds (DraftKings): IND -3.5 · ML DET +140 / IND -168 · O/U 35.5

Model prediction

Predicted winner: Indianapolis Colts - DET 41% / IND 59%

Blitz Edge: why the model likes Indianapolis Colts

The model gives Indianapolis Colts a 59% chance to win this one. The biggest factors: IND's pass offense (#9) has a 11-spot edge over DET's pass defense (#20), and IND's total offense (#9) has a 9-spot edge over DET's total defense (#18).

Team stats comparison (rank out of 32)

	DET offense	IND offense	Edge
Total yards	#5	#9	away edge (4)
Rush yards	#14	#17	away edge (3)
Pass yards	#3	#9	away edge (6)

	DET defense	IND defense	Edge
Total yards allowed	#18	#23	away edge (5)
Rush yards allowed	#14	#7	home edge (7)
Pass yards allowed	#20	#30	away edge (10)

Injury report

• Tyler Warren (IND · TE) - active - Groin injury
• Brian Branch (DET · S) - out - Torn Achilles - on reserve/PUP
• Kerby Joseph (DET · S) - out - Knee injury (lingering from 2025) - on reserve/PUP
• Payton Turner (DET · DE) - out - Back
• Isiah Pacheco (DET · RB) - out - Back - surgery (loose body pressing on a nerve), on injured reserve
• Cade Mays (DET · C) - out - Fractured wrist - on injured reserve, designated to return
• Avonte Maddox (DET · CB) - out - Foot - season-ending surgery
• Alec Pierce (IND · WR) - out - Left heel (aggravated offseason surgical repair) - placed on injured reserve
• Coleman Owen (IND · WR) - out - Concussion, concussion
• Arden Key (IND · DE) - out - Hamstring

Detroit Lions full schedule · Indianapolis Colts full schedule · See this week's full NFL odds and predictions on Blitz Odds