NFL Preseason Week 3 Picks & Predictions - 2026

Blitz Odds model picks for all 16 Preseason Week 3 games, ranked into a full confidence pool ladder. Win probabilities are adjusted for team rankings, injuries, and home field. Free, no account needed.

Preseason Week 3 confidence pool ladder

Assign 16 points to the top row down to 1 point at the bottom - the model's most confident pick first.

Points	Pick	Matchup	Win probability	Spread	Kickoff
16	Buffalo Bills	Pittsburgh Steelers at Buffalo Bills	80%	BUF -2.5	Thu, Aug 27 · 7:00 PM ET
15	Denver Broncos	Minnesota Vikings at Denver Broncos	73%	DEN -3.5	Fri, Aug 28 · 9:00 PM ET
14	Jacksonville Jaguars	Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Jacksonville Jaguars	72%	TB -2.5	Fri, Aug 28 · 7:30 PM ET
13	Los Angeles Rams	Los Angeles Rams at Los Angeles Chargers	68%	LAC -3.5	Thu, Aug 27 · 10:00 PM ET
12	Dallas Cowboys	New Orleans Saints at Dallas Cowboys	68%	DAL -2.5	Fri, Aug 28 · 8:00 PM ET
11	New England Patriots	New England Patriots at Cleveland Browns	63%	NE -2.5	Thu, Aug 27 · 8:00 PM ET
10	Las Vegas Raiders	San Francisco 49ers at Las Vegas Raiders	60%	LV -3.5	Thu, Aug 27 · 8:00 PM ET
9	Houston Texans	Houston Texans at Carolina Panthers	59%	HOU -1.5	Fri, Aug 28 · 7:00 PM ET
8	Kansas City Chiefs	Seattle Seahawks at Kansas City Chiefs	58%	SEA -1.5	Fri, Aug 28 · 8:00 PM ET
7	Baltimore Ravens	Washington Commanders at Baltimore Ravens	56%	BAL -3	Fri, Aug 28 · 6:00 PM ET
6	Arizona Cardinals	Arizona Cardinals at Green Bay Packers	56%	GB -1.5	Fri, Aug 28 · 8:00 PM ET
5	New York Jets	New York Giants at New York Jets	54%	NYG -3	Fri, Aug 28 · 7:30 PM ET
4	Miami Dolphins	Atlanta Falcons at Miami Dolphins	53%	ATL -3.5	Fri, Aug 28 · 7:00 PM ET
3	Indianapolis Colts	Detroit Lions at Indianapolis Colts	53%	IND -3.5	Sat, Aug 29 · 1:00 PM ET
2	Cincinnati Bengals	Cincinnati Bengals at Philadelphia Eagles	52%	PHI -2.5	Fri, Aug 28 · 8:00 PM ET
1	Chicago Bears	Chicago Bears at Tennessee Titans	52%	CHI -1.5	Sat, Aug 29 · 6:00 PM ET

Results

The model went 7-9 on Preseason Week 3 games played so far.

• Pittsburgh Steelers 27 - 28 Buffalo Bills - picked Buffalo Bills (correct)
• Minnesota Vikings 6 - 34 Denver Broncos - picked Denver Broncos (correct)
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0 - 19 Jacksonville Jaguars - picked Jacksonville Jaguars (correct)
• Los Angeles Rams 20 - 18 Los Angeles Chargers - picked Los Angeles Rams (correct)
• New Orleans Saints 27 - 24 Dallas Cowboys - picked Dallas Cowboys (incorrect)
• New England Patriots 13 - 37 Cleveland Browns - picked New England Patriots (incorrect)
• San Francisco 49ers 18 - 12 Las Vegas Raiders - picked Las Vegas Raiders (incorrect)
• Houston Texans 13 - 16 Carolina Panthers - picked Houston Texans (incorrect)
• Seattle Seahawks 9 - 9 Kansas City Chiefs - picked Kansas City Chiefs (incorrect)
• Washington Commanders 3 - 41 Baltimore Ravens - picked Baltimore Ravens (correct)
• Arizona Cardinals 38 - 42 Green Bay Packers - picked Arizona Cardinals (incorrect)
• New York Giants 23 - 6 New York Jets - picked New York Jets (incorrect)
• Atlanta Falcons 17 - 12 Miami Dolphins - picked Miami Dolphins (incorrect)
• Detroit Lions 25 - 16 Indianapolis Colts - picked Indianapolis Colts (incorrect)
• Cincinnati Bengals 30 - 13 Philadelphia Eagles - picked Cincinnati Bengals (correct)
• Chicago Bears 24 - 15 Tennessee Titans - picked Chicago Bears (correct)

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