Pittsburgh Steelers at Buffalo Bills — Preseason Week 3 Odds, Injuries & Prediction

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Buffalo Bills: live odds, injury report, team rankings comparison, and win probability for this matchup.

Thu, Aug 27 · 7:00 PM ET · NFL Network

Final: Pittsburgh Steelers 27 - 28 Buffalo Bills. Buffalo Bills won. Model prediction was correct.

Odds (DraftKings): BUF -2.5 · ML PIT +126 / BUF -148 · O/U 35.5

Model prediction

Predicted winner: Buffalo Bills - PIT 21% / BUF 79%

Blitz Edge: why the model likes Buffalo Bills

The model gives Buffalo Bills a 79% chance to win this one. The biggest factors: BUF's total offense (#4) has a 22-spot edge over PIT's total defense (#26), and BUF's pass defense (#1) has a 21-spot edge over PIT's pass offense (#22).

Home field adds a small extra boost on top of that. PIT is also dealing with DeShon Elliott (S) listed as out, which tips things further BUF's way.

Team stats comparison (rank out of 32)

	PIT offense	BUF offense	Edge
Total yards	#25	#4	home edge (21)
Rush yards	#26	#1	home edge (25)
Pass yards	#22	#15	home edge (7)

	PIT defense	BUF defense	Edge
Total yards allowed	#26	#7	home edge (19)
Rush yards allowed	#13	#28	away edge (15)
Pass yards allowed	#29	#1	home edge (28)

Injury report

Ed Oliver (BUF · DT) - questionable - Knee
DJ Moore (BUF · WR) - questionable - Shoulder
Cole Burgess (PIT · WR) - out - Knee injury - reverted to injured reserve
DeShon Elliott (PIT · S) - out - Undisclosed - on injured reserve
Rico Dowdle (PIT · RB) - out - Toe
Tyrell Shavers (BUF · WR) - out - Knee - ACL

Pittsburgh Steelers full schedule · Buffalo Bills full schedule · See this week's full NFL odds and predictions on Blitz Odds