Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Jacksonville Jaguars — Preseason Week 3 Odds, Injuries & Prediction

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Jacksonville Jaguars: live odds, injury report, team rankings comparison, and win probability for this matchup.

Fri, Aug 28 · 7:30 PM ET · Local

Final: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0 - 19 Jacksonville Jaguars. Jacksonville Jaguars won. Model prediction was correct.

Odds (DraftKings): TB -2.5 · ML TB -144 / JAX +122 · O/U 35.5

Model prediction

Predicted winner: Jacksonville Jaguars - TB 25% / JAX 75%

Blitz Edge: why the model likes Jacksonville Jaguars

The model gives Jacksonville Jaguars a 75% chance to win this one. The biggest factors: JAX's rush defense (#1) has a 20-spot edge over TB's rush offense (#21), and JAX's pass offense (#12) has a 15-spot edge over TB's pass defense (#27).

Home field adds a small extra boost on top of that. TB is also dealing with Baker Mayfield (QB) listed as out, which tips things further JAX's way. Note: the sportsbook favorite (TB) disagrees with this pick.

Team stats comparison (rank out of 32)

	TB offense	JAX offense	Edge
Total yards	#21	#11	home edge (10)
Rush yards	#21	#20	home edge (1)
Pass yards	#20	#12	home edge (8)

	TB defense	JAX defense	Edge
Total yards allowed	#19	#11	home edge (8)
Rush yards allowed	#5	#1	home edge (4)
Pass yards allowed	#27	#21	home edge (6)

Injury report

Emeka Egbuka (TB · WR) - active - Toe injury (resolved)
Bhayshul Tuten (JAX · RB) - active - Illness
Baker Mayfield (TB · QB) - out - Dislocated right thumb
David Sills V (TB · WR) - out - Undisclosed
Josh Hayes (TB · CB) - out - Knee, surgery
Jalen McMillan (TB · WR) - out - Knee - PCL
Zach Durfee (JAX · DE) - out - Upper Body

Tampa Bay Buccaneers full schedule · Jacksonville Jaguars full schedule · See this week's full NFL odds and predictions on Blitz Odds