New Orleans Saints at Dallas Cowboys — Preseason Week 3 Odds, Injuries & Prediction

New Orleans Saints @ Dallas Cowboys: live odds, injury report, team rankings comparison, and win probability for this matchup.

Fri, Aug 28 · 8:00 PM ET · ESPN App

Final: New Orleans Saints 27 - 24 Dallas Cowboys. New Orleans Saints won. Model prediction was incorrect.

Odds (DraftKings): DAL -2.5 · ML NO +120 / DAL -144 · O/U 38.5

Model prediction

Predicted winner: Dallas Cowboys - NO 40% / DAL 60%

Blitz Edge: why the model likes Dallas Cowboys

The model gives Dallas Cowboys a 60% chance to win this one. The biggest factors: DAL's rush offense (#9) has a 10-spot edge over NO's rush defense (#19), and DAL's total offense (#2) has a 7-spot edge over NO's total defense (#9).

Home field adds a small extra boost on top of that. NO is also dealing with Kelvin Banks Jr. (LT) listed as out, which tips things further DAL's way.

Team stats comparison (rank out of 32)

	NO offense	DAL offense	Edge
Total yards	#23	#2	home edge (21)
Rush yards	#28	#9	home edge (19)
Pass yards	#13	#2	home edge (11)

	NO defense	DAL defense	Edge
Total yards allowed	#9	#30	away edge (21)
Rush yards allowed	#19	#23	away edge (4)
Pass yards allowed	#4	#32	away edge (28)

Injury report

Alvin Kamara (NO · RB) - active - Knee - MCL sprain (cleared to return)
Cameron Jordan (NO · DE) - active - Hamstring
Chris Olave (NO · WR) - active - Hamstring
Ty Chandler (NO · RB) - out - Knee injury - season-ending
Bryan Bresee (NO · DT) - out - Torn ACL - season-ending
Jordyn Tyson (NO · WR) - out - Hamstring
Mason Tipton (NO · WR) - out - Leg
Kelvin Banks Jr. (NO · LT) - out - Severe high ankle sprain - surgery expected
Marist Liufau (DAL · LB) - out - Fractured left forearm
Tyler Smith (DAL · LG) - out - Thumb ligament injury - surgery, headed to injured reserve
DeMarvion Overshown (DAL · LB) - out - Hamstring

New Orleans Saints full schedule · Dallas Cowboys full schedule · See this week's full NFL odds and predictions on Blitz Odds