New England Patriots at Kansas City Chiefs — Week 15 Odds, Injuries & Prediction

New England Patriots @ Kansas City Chiefs: live odds, injury report, team rankings comparison, and win probability for this matchup.

Mon, Dec 21 · 8:15 PM ET · ESPN

Odds (DraftKings): KC -2.5 · ML NE +120 / KC -142 · O/U 45.5

Model prediction

Predicted winner: Kansas City Chiefs - NE 28% / KC 72%

Blitz Edge: why the model likes Kansas City Chiefs

The model gives Kansas City Chiefs a 72% chance to win this one. The biggest factors: KC's rush offense (#3) has a 11-spot edge over NE's rush defense (#14), and KC's rush defense (#5) has a 5-spot edge over NE's rush offense (#10).

Home field adds a small extra boost on top of that. NE is also dealing with A.J. Brown (WR) listed as out, which tips things further KC's way.

Team stats comparison (rank out of 32)

	NE offense	KC offense	Edge
Total yards	#16	#3	home edge (13)
Rush yards	#10	#3	home edge (7)
Pass yards	#17	#10	home edge (7)

	NE defense	KC defense	Edge
Total yards allowed	#6	#12	away edge (6)
Rush yards allowed	#14	#5	home edge (9)
Pass yards allowed	#5	#18	away edge (13)

Injury report

Ben Brown (NE · C) - active - Knee
Carlton Davis III (NE · CB) - active - Neck (cleared)
Mansoor Delane (KC · CB) - active - Shoulder
Christian Barmore (NE · DT) - questionable - Shoulder
Josh Simmons (KC · T) - questionable - Back
A.J. Brown (NE · WR) - out - High ankle sprain (right) - on injured reserve
Mike Onwenu (NE · RG) - out - Broken right ankle
Jeff Caldwell (KC · WR) - out - Knee

New England Patriots full schedule · Kansas City Chiefs full schedule · See this week's full NFL odds and predictions on Blitz Odds