New Orleans Saints at Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Week 15 Odds, Injuries & Prediction

New Orleans Saints @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers: live odds, injury report, team rankings comparison, and win probability for this matchup.

Sun, Dec 20 · 1:00 PM ET · FOX

Odds (DraftKings): TB -3.5 · ML NO +164 / TB -198 · O/U 45.5

Model prediction

Predicted winner: Tampa Bay Buccaneers - NO 29% / TB 71%

Blitz Edge: why the model likes Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The model gives Tampa Bay Buccaneers a 71% chance to win this one. The biggest factors: TB's rush defense (#3) has a 24-spot edge over NO's rush offense (#27), and TB's rush offense (#17) has a 13-spot edge over NO's rush defense (#30).

Home field adds a small extra boost on top of that. NO is also dealing with Kelvin Banks Jr. (LT) listed as out, which tips things further TB's way.

Team stats comparison (rank out of 32)

	NO offense	TB offense	Edge
Total yards	#9	#28	away edge (19)
Rush yards	#27	#17	home edge (10)
Pass yards	#4	#28	away edge (24)

	NO defense	TB defense	Edge
Total yards allowed	#26	#4	home edge (22)
Rush yards allowed	#30	#3	home edge (27)
Pass yards allowed	#15	#9	home edge (6)

Injury report

Alvin Kamara (NO · RB) - active - Knee - MCL sprain (cleared to return)
Cameron Jordan (NO · DE) - active - Hamstring
Chris Olave (NO · WR) - active - Hamstring
Emeka Egbuka (TB · WR) - active - Toe injury (resolved)
Ty Chandler (NO · RB) - out - Knee injury - season-ending
Bryan Bresee (NO · DT) - out - Torn ACL - season-ending
Jordyn Tyson (NO · WR) - out - Hamstring
Mason Tipton (NO · WR) - out - Leg
Kelvin Banks Jr. (NO · LT) - out - Severe high ankle sprain - surgery expected
Baker Mayfield (TB · QB) - out - Dislocated right thumb
David Sills V (TB · WR) - out - Undisclosed
Josh Hayes (TB · CB) - out - Knee, surgery
Jalen McMillan (TB · WR) - out - Knee - PCL

New Orleans Saints full schedule · Tampa Bay Buccaneers full schedule · See this week's full NFL odds and predictions on Blitz Odds