Kansas City Chiefs at Las Vegas Raiders — Week 4 Odds, Injuries & Prediction

Kansas City Chiefs @ Las Vegas Raiders: live odds, injury report, team rankings comparison, and win probability for this matchup.

Sun, Oct 4 · 4:25 PM ET · CBS

Final: Kansas City Chiefs 30 - 27 Las Vegas Raiders. Kansas City Chiefs won. Model prediction was correct.

Odds (DraftKings): KC -4.5 · ML KC -225 / LV +185 · O/U 47.5

Model prediction

Predicted winner: Kansas City Chiefs - KC 66% / LV 34%

Blitz Edge: why the model likes Kansas City Chiefs

The model gives Kansas City Chiefs a 66% chance to win this one. The biggest factors: KC's total defense (#4) has a 16-spot edge over LV's total offense (#20), and KC's rush offense (#5) has a 15-spot edge over LV's rush defense (#20).

LV is also dealing with Dont'e Thornton Jr. (WR) listed as out, which tips things further KC's way.

Team stats comparison (rank out of 32)

	KC offense	LV offense	Edge
Total yards	#3	#20	away edge (17)
Rush yards	#5	#19	away edge (14)
Pass yards	#6	#17	away edge (11)

	KC defense	LV defense	Edge
Total yards allowed	#4	#12	away edge (8)
Rush yards allowed	#10	#20	away edge (10)
Pass yards allowed	#7	#10	away edge (3)

Injury report

Mansoor Delane (KC · CB) - active - Shoulder
Ashton Jeanty (LV · RB) - active - Ankle sprain (resolved)
Jeff Caldwell (KC · WR) - out - Knee
Josh Simmons (KC · T) - out - Back
Keyron Crawford (LV · DE) - out - Achilles injury - season-ending injured reserve
Carter Runyon (LV · TE) - out - Undisclosed
Dont'e Thornton Jr. (LV · WR) - out - Undisclosed

Kansas City Chiefs full schedule · Las Vegas Raiders full schedule · See this week's full NFL odds and predictions on Blitz Odds