Blitz Odds model picks for all 16 Week 4 games, ranked into a full confidence pool ladder. Win probabilities are adjusted for team rankings, injuries, and home field. Free, no account needed.
Assign 16 points to the top row down to 1 point at the bottom - the model's most confident pick first.
| Points | Pick | Matchup | Win probability | Spread | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Jacksonville Jaguars | Jacksonville Jaguars at Cincinnati Bengals | 80% | CIN -2.5 | Sun, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET |
| 15 | Denver Broncos | Denver Broncos at San Francisco 49ers | 79% | SF -2.5 | Sun, Oct 4 · 4:25 PM ET |
| 14 | Los Angeles Rams | Los Angeles Rams at Philadelphia Eagles | 77% | LAR -1.5 | Sun, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET |
| 13 | Detroit Lions | Detroit Lions at Carolina Panthers | 75% | DET -3 | Sun, Oct 4 · 8:20 PM ET |
| 12 | Baltimore Ravens | Tennessee Titans at Baltimore Ravens | 67% | BAL -8.5 | Sun, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET |
| 11 | Atlanta Falcons | Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints | 67% | NO -2.5 | Mon, Oct 5 · 8:15 PM ET |
| 10 | Kansas City Chiefs | Kansas City Chiefs at Las Vegas Raiders | 66% | KC -5.5 | Sun, Oct 4 · 4:25 PM ET |
| 9 | Dallas Cowboys | Dallas Cowboys at Houston Texans | 64% | HOU -2.5 | Sun, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET |
| 8 | Indianapolis Colts | Indianapolis Colts at Washington Commanders | 59% | WAS -1.5 | Sun, Oct 4 · 9:30 AM ET |
| 7 | New York Giants | Arizona Cardinals at New York Giants | 58% | NYG -7 | Sun, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET |
| 6 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Green Bay Packers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 58% | GB -1.5 | Sun, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET |
| 5 | New England Patriots | New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills | 57% | BUF -3 | Sun, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET |
| 4 | Miami Dolphins | Miami Dolphins at Minnesota Vikings | 55% | MIN -7.5 | Sun, Oct 4 · 4:05 PM ET |
| 3 | Cleveland Browns | Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns | 54% | PIT -2.5 | Thu, Oct 1 · 8:15 PM ET |
| 2 | New York Jets | New York Jets at Chicago Bears | 52% | CHI -8.5 | Sun, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET |
| 1 | Seattle Seahawks | Los Angeles Chargers at Seattle Seahawks | 52% | SEA -3 | Sun, Oct 4 · 4:25 PM ET |
« Week 3 · Week 5 » · All 2026 weeks · Confidence, survivor & ATS sheets