Las Vegas Raiders at New England Patriots — Week 5 Odds, Injuries & Prediction

Las Vegas Raiders @ New England Patriots: live odds, injury report, team rankings comparison, and win probability for this matchup.

Sun, Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET · CBS

Odds (DraftKings): NE -3.5 · ML LV +160 / NE -192 · O/U 45.5

Model prediction

Predicted winner: New England Patriots - LV 38% / NE 62%

Blitz Edge: why the model likes New England Patriots

The model gives New England Patriots a 62% chance to win this one. The biggest factors: NE's rush offense (#10) has a 17-spot edge over LV's rush defense (#27), and NE's rush defense (#14) has a 10-spot edge over LV's rush offense (#24).

Home field adds a small extra boost on top of that. LV is also dealing with Dont'e Thornton Jr. (WR) listed as out, which tips things further NE's way.

Team stats comparison (rank out of 32)

	LV offense	NE offense	Edge
Total yards	#15	#16	away edge (1)
Rush yards	#24	#10	home edge (14)
Pass yards	#9	#17	away edge (8)

	LV defense	NE defense	Edge
Total yards allowed	#19	#6	home edge (13)
Rush yards allowed	#27	#14	home edge (13)
Pass yards allowed	#8	#5	home edge (3)

Injury report

Ashton Jeanty (LV · RB) - active - Ankle sprain (resolved)
Ben Brown (NE · C) - active - Knee
Carlton Davis III (NE · CB) - active - Neck (cleared)
Keyron Crawford (LV · DE) - out - Achilles injury - season-ending injured reserve
Carter Runyon (LV · TE) - out - Undisclosed
Dont'e Thornton Jr. (LV · WR) - out - Undisclosed
Christian Barmore (NE · DT) - out - Shoulder
A.J. Brown (NE · WR) - out - High ankle sprain (right) - on injured reserve
Mike Onwenu (NE · RG) - out - Broken right ankle

Las Vegas Raiders full schedule · New England Patriots full schedule · See this week's full NFL odds and predictions on Blitz Odds