Blitz Odds model picks for all 15 Week 5 games, ranked into a full confidence pool ladder. Win probabilities are adjusted for team rankings, injuries, and home field. Free, no account needed.
Assign 15 points to the top row down to 1 point at the bottom - the model's most confident pick first.
| Points | Pick | Matchup | Win probability | Spread | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Jacksonville Jaguars | Philadelphia Eagles at Jacksonville Jaguars | 80% | JAX -7.5 | Sun, Oct 11 · 9:30 AM ET |
| 14 | Chicago Bears | Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers | 72% | CHI -1.5 | Sun, Oct 11 · 4:25 PM ET |
| 13 | Los Angeles Rams | Buffalo Bills at Los Angeles Rams | 72% | LAR -3.5 | Mon, Oct 12 · 8:15 PM ET |
| 12 | Seattle Seahawks | San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks | 71% | SEA -3 | Sun, Oct 11 · 4:25 PM ET |
| 11 | New England Patriots | Las Vegas Raiders at New England Patriots | 70% | NE -3.5 | Sun, Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET |
| 10 | Atlanta Falcons | Baltimore Ravens at Atlanta Falcons | 64% | ATL -3 | Sun, Oct 11 · 8:20 PM ET |
| 9 | Dallas Cowboys | Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Dallas Cowboys | 57% | DAL -8.5 | Thu, Oct 8 · 8:15 PM ET |
| 8 | Tennessee Titans | Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans | 56% | HOU -7 | Sun, Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET |
| 7 | Washington Commanders | New York Giants at Washington Commanders | 56% | WAS -3.5 | Sun, Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET |
| 6 | Miami Dolphins | Cincinnati Bengals at Miami Dolphins | 55% | CIN -7 | Sun, Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Steelers | Indianapolis Colts at Pittsburgh Steelers | 55% | PIT -3 | Sun, Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET |
| 4 | Denver Broncos | Denver Broncos at Los Angeles Chargers | 55% | DEN -3.5 | Sun, Oct 11 · 4:05 PM ET |
| 3 | Arizona Cardinals | Detroit Lions at Arizona Cardinals | 54% | DET -5.5 | Sun, Oct 11 · 4:25 PM ET |
| 2 | Minnesota Vikings | Minnesota Vikings at New Orleans Saints | 51% | MIN -1.5 | Sun, Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET |
| 1 | Cleveland Browns | Cleveland Browns at New York Jets | 51% | NYJ -2.5 | Sun, Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET |
The model went 0-1 on Week 5 games played so far.
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