Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Dallas Cowboys — Week 5 Odds, Injuries & Prediction

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Dallas Cowboys: live odds, injury report, team rankings comparison, and win probability for this matchup.

Thu, Oct 8 · 8:15 PM ET · Prime Video

Odds (DraftKings): DAL -9.5 · ML TB +370 / DAL -485 · O/U 47.5

Model prediction

Predicted winner: Tampa Bay Buccaneers - TB 58% / DAL 42%

Blitz Edge: why the model likes Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The model gives Tampa Bay Buccaneers a 58% chance to win this one. The biggest factors: TB's rush defense (#3) has a 22-spot edge over DAL's rush offense (#25), and TB's rush offense (#17) has a 14-spot edge over DAL's rush defense (#31).

DAL is also dealing with Tyler Smith (LG) listed as out, which tips things further TB's way. Note: the sportsbook favorite (DAL) disagrees with this pick.

Team stats comparison (rank out of 32)

	TB offense	DAL offense	Edge
Total yards	#28	#12	home edge (16)
Rush yards	#17	#25	away edge (8)
Pass yards	#28	#7	home edge (21)

	TB defense	DAL defense	Edge
Total yards allowed	#4	#30	away edge (26)
Rush yards allowed	#3	#31	away edge (28)
Pass yards allowed	#9	#24	away edge (15)

Injury report

Emeka Egbuka (TB · WR) - active - Toe injury (resolved)
Baker Mayfield (TB · QB) - out - Dislocated right thumb
David Sills V (TB · WR) - out - Undisclosed
Josh Hayes (TB · CB) - out - Knee, surgery
Jalen McMillan (TB · WR) - out - Knee - PCL
Marist Liufau (DAL · LB) - out - Fractured left forearm
Tyler Smith (DAL · LG) - out - Thumb ligament injury - surgery, headed to injured reserve
DeMarvion Overshown (DAL · LB) - out - Hamstring

Tampa Bay Buccaneers full schedule · Dallas Cowboys full schedule · See this week's full NFL odds and predictions on Blitz Odds