Kansas City Chiefs at Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Preseason Week 2 Odds, Injuries & Prediction

Kansas City Chiefs @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers: live odds, injury report, team rankings comparison, and win probability for this matchup.

Sat, Aug 22 · 7:30 PM ET · ESPN App

Final: Kansas City Chiefs 15 - 16 Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Tampa Bay Buccaneers won. Model prediction was incorrect.

Odds (DraftKings): TB -5.5 · ML KC +180 / TB -215 · O/U 37.5

Model prediction

Predicted winner: Kansas City Chiefs - KC 59% / TB 41%

Blitz Edge: why the model likes Kansas City Chiefs

The model gives Kansas City Chiefs a 59% chance to win this one. The biggest factors: KC's rush defense (#9) has a 12-spot edge over TB's rush offense (#21), and KC's total defense (#10) has a 11-spot edge over TB's total offense (#21).

TB is also dealing with Baker Mayfield (QB) listed as out, which tips things further KC's way. Note: the sportsbook favorite (TB) disagrees with this pick.

Team stats comparison (rank out of 32)

	KC offense	TB offense	Edge
Total yards	#20	#21	away edge (1)
Rush yards	#25	#21	home edge (4)
Pass yards	#16	#20	away edge (4)

	KC defense	TB defense	Edge
Total yards allowed	#10	#19	away edge (9)
Rush yards allowed	#9	#5	home edge (4)
Pass yards allowed	#12	#27	away edge (15)

Injury report

Mansoor Delane (KC · CB) - active - Shoulder
Emeka Egbuka (TB · WR) - active - Toe injury (resolved)
Jeff Caldwell (KC · WR) - out - Knee
Josh Simmons (KC · T) - out - Back
Baker Mayfield (TB · QB) - out - Dislocated right thumb
David Sills V (TB · WR) - out - Undisclosed
Josh Hayes (TB · CB) - out - Knee, surgery
Jalen McMillan (TB · WR) - out - Knee - PCL

Kansas City Chiefs full schedule · Tampa Bay Buccaneers full schedule · See this week's full NFL odds and predictions on Blitz Odds