Las Vegas Raiders @ Houston Texans: live odds, injury report, team rankings comparison, and win probability for this matchup.
Thu, Aug 20 · 8:00 PM ET · ESPN
Final: Las Vegas Raiders 22 - 20 Houston Texans. Las Vegas Raiders won. Model prediction was incorrect.
Odds (DraftKings): LV -1.5 · ML LV -122 / HOU +102 · O/U 37.5
Predicted winner: Houston Texans - LV 44% / HOU 56%
The model gives Houston Texans a 56% chance to win this one. The biggest factors: HOU's total defense (#1) has a 31-spot edge over LV's total offense (#32), and HOU's rush defense (#4) has a 28-spot edge over LV's rush offense (#32).
Home field adds a small extra boost on top of that. LV is also dealing with Dont'e Thornton Jr. (WR) listed as out, which tips things further HOU's way. Note: the sportsbook favorite (LV) disagrees with this pick.
| LV offense | HOU offense | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total yards | #32 | #18 | home edge (14) |
| Rush yards | #32 | #22 | home edge (10) |
| Pass yards | #28 | #14 | home edge (14) |
| LV defense | HOU defense | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total yards allowed | #14 | #1 | home edge (13) |
| Rush yards allowed | #17 | #4 | home edge (13) |
| Pass yards allowed | #14 | #6 | home edge (8) |
Las Vegas Raiders full schedule · Houston Texans full schedule · See this week's full NFL odds and predictions on Blitz Odds