San Francisco 49ers @ Los Angeles Chargers: live odds, injury report, team rankings comparison, and win probability for this matchup.
Thu, Aug 20 · 10:00 PM ET · NFL Network
Final: San Francisco 49ers 41 - 17 Los Angeles Chargers. San Francisco 49ers won. Model prediction was incorrect.
Odds (DraftKings): SF -1.5 · ML SF -112 / LAC -108 · O/U 38.5
Predicted winner: Los Angeles Chargers - SF 33% / LAC 67%
The model gives Los Angeles Chargers a 67% chance to win this one. The biggest factors: LAC's rush defense (#8) has a 16-spot edge over SF's rush offense (#24), and LAC's total offense (#12) has a 8-spot edge over SF's total defense (#20).
Home field adds a small extra boost on top of that. SF is also dealing with Nick Bosa (Edge) listed as out, which tips things further LAC's way. Note: the sportsbook favorite (SF) disagrees with this pick.
| SF offense | LAC offense | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total yards | #7 | #12 | away edge (5) |
| Rush yards | #24 | #12 | home edge (12) |
| Pass yards | #5 | #18 | away edge (13) |
| SF defense | LAC defense | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total yards allowed | #20 | #5 | home edge (15) |
| Rush yards allowed | #11 | #8 | home edge (3) |
| Pass yards allowed | #25 | #5 | home edge (20) |
San Francisco 49ers full schedule · Los Angeles Chargers full schedule · See this week's full NFL odds and predictions on Blitz Odds