Philadelphia Eagles @ New England Patriots: live odds, injury report, team rankings comparison, and win probability for this matchup.
Sat, Aug 22 · 7:00 PM ET · NFL Network
Final: Philadelphia Eagles 21 - 24 New England Patriots. New England Patriots won. Model prediction was correct.
Odds (DraftKings): PHI -1.5 · ML PHI -130 / NE +110 · O/U 36.5
Predicted winner: New England Patriots - PHI 18% / NE 82%
The model gives New England Patriots a 82% chance to win this one. The biggest factors: NE's total defense (#8) has a 16-spot edge over PHI's total offense (#24), and NE's rush offense (#6) has a 16-spot edge over PHI's rush defense (#22).
Home field adds a small extra boost on top of that. PHI is also dealing with DeVonta Smith (WR) listed as out, which tips things further NE's way. Note: the sportsbook favorite (PHI) disagrees with this pick.
| PHI offense | NE offense | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total yards | #24 | #3 | home edge (21) |
| Rush yards | #18 | #6 | home edge (12) |
| Pass yards | #23 | #4 | home edge (19) |
| PHI defense | NE defense | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total yards allowed | #13 | #8 | home edge (5) |
| Rush yards allowed | #22 | #6 | home edge (16) |
| Pass yards allowed | #8 | #9 | away edge (1) |
Philadelphia Eagles full schedule · New England Patriots full schedule · See this week's full NFL odds and predictions on Blitz Odds