Philadelphia Eagles at New England Patriots — Preseason Week 2 Odds, Injuries & Prediction

Philadelphia Eagles @ New England Patriots: live odds, injury report, team rankings comparison, and win probability for this matchup.

Sat, Aug 22 · 7:00 PM ET · NFL Network

Final: Philadelphia Eagles 21 - 24 New England Patriots. New England Patriots won. Model prediction was correct.

Odds (DraftKings): PHI -1.5 · ML PHI -130 / NE +110 · O/U 36.5

Model prediction

Predicted winner: New England Patriots - PHI 18% / NE 82%

Blitz Edge: why the model likes New England Patriots

The model gives New England Patriots a 82% chance to win this one. The biggest factors: NE's total defense (#8) has a 16-spot edge over PHI's total offense (#24), and NE's rush offense (#6) has a 16-spot edge over PHI's rush defense (#22).

Home field adds a small extra boost on top of that. PHI is also dealing with DeVonta Smith (WR) listed as out, which tips things further NE's way. Note: the sportsbook favorite (PHI) disagrees with this pick.

Team stats comparison (rank out of 32)

PHI offenseNE offenseEdge
Total yards#24#3home edge (21)
Rush yards#18#6home edge (12)
Pass yards#23#4home edge (19)
PHI defenseNE defenseEdge
Total yards allowed#13#8home edge (5)
Rush yards allowed#22#6home edge (16)
Pass yards allowed#8#9away edge (1)

Injury report

Philadelphia Eagles full schedule · New England Patriots full schedule · See this week's full NFL odds and predictions on Blitz Odds