New Orleans Saints @ Los Angeles Rams: live odds, injury report, team rankings comparison, and win probability for this matchup.
Sat, Aug 22 · 4:00 PM ET · ESPN App
Final: New Orleans Saints 0 - 34 Los Angeles Rams. Los Angeles Rams won. Model prediction was correct.
Odds (DraftKings): NO -1.5 · ML NO -130 / LAR +110 · O/U 37.5
Predicted winner: Los Angeles Rams - NO 31% / LAR 69%
The model gives Los Angeles Rams a 69% chance to win this one. The biggest factors: LAR's rush defense (#12) has a 16-spot edge over NO's rush offense (#28), and LAR's rush offense (#7) has a 12-spot edge over NO's rush defense (#19).
Home field adds a small extra boost on top of that. NO is also dealing with Kelvin Banks Jr. (LT) listed as out, which tips things further LAR's way. Note: the sportsbook favorite (NO) disagrees with this pick.
| NO offense | LAR offense | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total yards | #23 | #1 | home edge (22) |
| Rush yards | #28 | #7 | home edge (21) |
| Pass yards | #13 | #1 | home edge (12) |
| NO defense | LAR defense | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total yards allowed | #9 | #17 | away edge (8) |
| Rush yards allowed | #19 | #12 | home edge (7) |
| Pass yards allowed | #4 | #19 | away edge (15) |
New Orleans Saints full schedule · Los Angeles Rams full schedule · See this week's full NFL odds and predictions on Blitz Odds