New York Giants @ Miami Dolphins: live odds, injury report, team rankings comparison, and win probability for this matchup.
Sat, Aug 22 · 4:00 PM ET · NFL Network
Final: New York Giants 26 - 3 Miami Dolphins. New York Giants won. Model prediction was incorrect.
Odds (DraftKings): NYG -3.5 · ML NYG -176 / MIA +148 · O/U 36.5
Predicted winner: Miami Dolphins - NYG 34% / MIA 66%
The model gives Miami Dolphins a 66% chance to win this one. The biggest factors: MIA's rush offense (#13) has a 18-spot edge over NYG's rush defense (#31), and MIA's pass defense (#18) has a 3-spot edge over NYG's pass offense (#21).
Home field adds a small extra boost on top of that. NYG is also dealing with Brian Burns (Edge) listed as out, which tips things further MIA's way. Note: the sportsbook favorite (NYG) disagrees with this pick.
| NYG offense | MIA offense | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total yards | #13 | #26 | away edge (13) |
| Rush yards | #5 | #13 | away edge (8) |
| Pass yards | #21 | #25 | away edge (4) |
| NYG defense | MIA defense | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total yards allowed | #28 | #22 | home edge (6) |
| Rush yards allowed | #31 | #26 | home edge (5) |
| Pass yards allowed | #16 | #18 | away edge (2) |
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