Arizona Cardinals at New Orleans Saints — Week 16 Odds, Injuries & Prediction

Arizona Cardinals @ New Orleans Saints: live odds, injury report, team rankings comparison, and win probability for this matchup.

Sun, Dec 27 · 1:00 PM ET · FOX

Odds (DraftKings): NO -5.5 · ML ARI +200 / NO -245 · O/U 44.5

Model prediction

Predicted winner: New Orleans Saints - ARI 49% / NO 51%

Blitz Edge: why the model likes New Orleans Saints

The model gives New Orleans Saints a 51% chance to win this one. The biggest factors: NO's pass offense (#4) has a 18-spot edge over ARI's pass defense (#22), and NO's total offense (#9) has a 15-spot edge over ARI's total defense (#24).

Home field adds a small extra boost on top of that. ARI is also dealing with James Conner (RB) listed as out, which tips things further NO's way.

Team stats comparison (rank out of 32)

ARI offenseNO offenseEdge
Total yards#22#9home edge (13)
Rush yards#21#27away edge (6)
Pass yards#22#4home edge (18)
ARI defenseNO defenseEdge
Total yards allowed#24#26away edge (2)
Rush yards allowed#20#30away edge (10)
Pass yards allowed#22#15home edge (7)

Injury report

Arizona Cardinals full schedule · New Orleans Saints full schedule · See this week's full NFL odds and predictions on Blitz Odds