Jacksonville Jaguars at Dallas Cowboys — Week 16 Odds, Injuries & Prediction

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Dallas Cowboys: live odds, injury report, team rankings comparison, and win probability for this matchup.

Sun, Dec 27 · 8:20 PM ET · NBC

Odds (DraftKings): DAL -3 · ML JAX +136 / DAL -162 · O/U 51.5

Model prediction

Predicted winner: Jacksonville Jaguars - JAX 66% / DAL 34%

Blitz Edge: why the model likes Jacksonville Jaguars

The model gives Jacksonville Jaguars a 66% chance to win this one. The biggest factors: JAX's rush defense (#2) has a 23-spot edge over DAL's rush offense (#25), and JAX's rush offense (#11) has a 20-spot edge over DAL's rush defense (#31).

DAL is also dealing with Tyler Smith (LG) listed as out, which tips things further JAX's way. Note: the sportsbook favorite (DAL) disagrees with this pick.

Team stats comparison (rank out of 32)

	JAX offense	DAL offense	Edge
Total yards	#18	#12	home edge (6)
Rush yards	#11	#25	away edge (14)
Pass yards	#19	#7	home edge (12)

	JAX defense	DAL defense	Edge
Total yards allowed	#25	#30	away edge (5)
Rush yards allowed	#2	#31	away edge (29)
Pass yards allowed	#31	#24	home edge (7)

Injury report

Bhayshul Tuten (JAX · RB) - active - Illness
Zach Durfee (JAX · DE) - out - Upper Body
Marist Liufau (DAL · LB) - out - Fractured left forearm
Tyler Smith (DAL · LG) - out - Thumb ligament injury - surgery, headed to injured reserve
DeMarvion Overshown (DAL · LB) - out - Hamstring

Jacksonville Jaguars full schedule · Dallas Cowboys full schedule · See this week's full NFL odds and predictions on Blitz Odds