Blitz Odds model picks for all 16 Week 16 games, ranked into a full confidence pool ladder. Win probabilities are adjusted for team rankings, injuries, and home field. Free, no account needed.
Assign 16 points to the top row down to 1 point at the bottom - the model's most confident pick first.
| Points | Pick | Matchup | Win probability | Spread | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Chicago Bears | Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears | 86% | CHI -1.5 | Fri, Dec 25 · 1:00 PM ET |
| 15 | Kansas City Chiefs | San Francisco 49ers at Kansas City Chiefs | 86% | KC -3 | Sun, Dec 27 · 4:25 PM ET |
| 14 | New England Patriots | New England Patriots at New York Jets | 72% | NE -6.5 | Sun, Dec 27 · 1:00 PM ET |
| 13 | Los Angeles Rams | Los Angeles Rams at Seattle Seahawks | 68% | SEA -1.5 | Fri, Dec 25 · 8:15 PM ET |
| 12 | Minnesota Vikings | Washington Commanders at Minnesota Vikings | 67% | - | Mon, Dec 28 · 8:15 PM ET |
| 11 | Detroit Lions | New York Giants at Detroit Lions | 66% | DET -4.5 | Mon, Dec 28 · 8:15 PM ET |
| 10 | Miami Dolphins | Los Angeles Chargers at Miami Dolphins | 63% | LAC -7 | Sun, Dec 27 · 1:00 PM ET |
| 9 | Pittsburgh Steelers | Carolina Panthers at Pittsburgh Steelers | 63% | - | Mon, Dec 28 · 8:15 PM ET |
| 8 | Houston Texans | Houston Texans at Philadelphia Eagles | 59% | PHI -2.5 | Thu, Dec 24 · 8:15 PM ET |
| 7 | Atlanta Falcons | Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons | 58% | - | Mon, Dec 28 · 8:15 PM ET |
| 6 | Las Vegas Raiders | Tennessee Titans at Las Vegas Raiders | 56% | LV -1.5 | Sun, Dec 27 · 4:05 PM ET |
| 5 | Jacksonville Jaguars | Jacksonville Jaguars at Dallas Cowboys | 54% | DAL -3 | Sun, Dec 27 · 8:20 PM ET |
| 4 | Buffalo Bills | Buffalo Bills at Denver Broncos | 53% | BUF -1.5 | Fri, Dec 25 · 4:30 PM ET |
| 3 | New Orleans Saints | Arizona Cardinals at New Orleans Saints | 53% | NO -5.5 | Sun, Dec 27 · 1:00 PM ET |
| 2 | Baltimore Ravens | Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens | 52% | BAL -10 | Sun, Dec 27 · 1:00 PM ET |
| 1 | Cincinnati Bengals | Cincinnati Bengals at Indianapolis Colts | 52% | - | Mon, Dec 28 · 8:15 PM ET |
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