Blitz Odds model picks for all 13 Week 11 games, ranked into a full confidence pool ladder. Win probabilities are adjusted for team rankings, injuries, and home field. Free, no account needed.
Assign 13 points to the top row down to 1 point at the bottom - the model's most confident pick first.
| Points | Pick | Matchup | Win probability | Spread | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Kansas City Chiefs | Arizona Cardinals at Kansas City Chiefs | 82% | KC -11.5 | Sun, Nov 22 · 1:00 PM ET |
| 12 | Chicago Bears | New Orleans Saints at Chicago Bears | 76% | CHI -6.5 | Sun, Nov 22 · 1:00 PM ET |
| 11 | Jacksonville Jaguars | Jacksonville Jaguars at New York Giants | 74% | JAX -1.5 | Sun, Nov 22 · 1:00 PM ET |
| 10 | Buffalo Bills | Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills | 68% | BUF -11.5 | Sun, Nov 22 · 1:00 PM ET |
| 9 | Dallas Cowboys | Tennessee Titans at Dallas Cowboys | 67% | DAL -6.5 | Sun, Nov 22 · 1:00 PM ET |
| 8 | Denver Broncos | Las Vegas Raiders at Denver Broncos | 64% | DEN -7.5 | Sun, Nov 22 · 4:25 PM ET |
| 7 | Los Angeles Chargers | New York Jets at Los Angeles Chargers | 59% | LAC -9.5 | Sun, Nov 22 · 4:05 PM ET |
| 6 | Houston Texans | Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans | 58% | HOU -5.5 | Thu, Nov 19 · 8:15 PM ET |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Steelers | Pittsburgh Steelers at Philadelphia Eagles | 58% | PHI -5.5 | Sun, Nov 22 · 4:25 PM ET |
| 4 | Cincinnati Bengals | Cincinnati Bengals at Washington Commanders | 56% | CIN -1.5 | Mon, Nov 23 · 8:15 PM ET |
| 3 | Minnesota Vikings | Minnesota Vikings at San Francisco 49ers | 53% | SF -3.5 | Sun, Nov 22 · 8:20 PM ET |
| 2 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Detroit Lions | 52% | DET -4.5 | Sun, Nov 22 · 1:00 PM ET |
| 1 | Baltimore Ravens | Baltimore Ravens at Carolina Panthers | 50% | BAL -4.5 | Sun, Nov 22 · 1:00 PM ET |
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