Blitz Odds model picks for all 16 Week 17 games, ranked into a full confidence pool ladder. Win probabilities are adjusted for team rankings, injuries, and home field. Free, no account needed.
Assign 16 points to the top row down to 1 point at the bottom - the model's most confident pick first.
| Points | Pick | Matchup | Win probability | Spread | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Jacksonville Jaguars | Washington Commanders at Jacksonville Jaguars | 84% | - | Mon, Jan 4 · TBD |
| 15 | Atlanta Falcons | New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons | 76% | ATL -1.5 | Sun, Jan 3 · 1:00 PM ET |
| 14 | Detroit Lions | Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears | 76% | CHI -1.5 | Sun, Jan 3 · 4:25 PM ET |
| 13 | Los Angeles Rams | Los Angeles Rams at Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 75% | - | Mon, Jan 4 · TBD |
| 12 | Seattle Seahawks | Seattle Seahawks at Carolina Panthers | 74% | SEA -5.5 | Sun, Jan 3 · 1:00 PM ET |
| 11 | Buffalo Bills | Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins | 74% | BUF -7.5 | Sun, Jan 3 · 1:00 PM ET |
| 10 | Dallas Cowboys | New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys | 73% | DAL -4.5 | Sun, Jan 3 · 1:00 PM ET |
| 9 | New England Patriots | Denver Broncos at New England Patriots | 73% | - | Mon, Jan 4 · TBD |
| 8 | Los Angeles Chargers | Kansas City Chiefs at Los Angeles Chargers | 64% | - | Mon, Jan 4 · TBD |
| 7 | Green Bay Packers | Houston Texans at Green Bay Packers | 59% | GB -2.5 | Mon, Jan 4 · 8:15 PM ET |
| 6 | Indianapolis Colts | Indianapolis Colts at Cleveland Browns | 58% | IND -2.5 | Sun, Jan 3 · 1:00 PM ET |
| 5 | Baltimore Ravens | Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals | 57% | CIN -1.5 | Thu, Dec 31 · 8:15 PM ET |
| 4 | New York Jets | Minnesota Vikings at New York Jets | 57% | MIN -3.5 | Sun, Jan 3 · 1:00 PM ET |
| 3 | Arizona Cardinals | Las Vegas Raiders at Arizona Cardinals | 57% | LV -1.5 | Sun, Jan 3 · 4:05 PM ET |
| 2 | Philadelphia Eagles | Philadelphia Eagles at San Francisco 49ers | 53% | SF -1.5 | Sun, Jan 3 · 8:20 PM ET |
| 1 | Pittsburgh Steelers | Pittsburgh Steelers at Tennessee Titans | 52% | PIT -1.5 | Sun, Jan 3 · 1:00 PM ET |
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