NFL Week 1 Picks & Predictions - 2026

Blitz Odds model picks for all 16 Week 1 games, ranked into a full confidence pool ladder. Win probabilities are adjusted for team rankings, injuries, and home field. Free, no account needed.

Week 1 confidence pool ladder

Assign 16 points to the top row down to 1 point at the bottom - the model's most confident pick first.

Points	Pick	Matchup	Win probability	Spread	Kickoff
16	Los Angeles Rams	San Francisco 49ers at Los Angeles Rams	89%	LAR -3.5	Thu, Sep 10 · 8:35 PM ET
15	Detroit Lions	New Orleans Saints at Detroit Lions	85%	DET -7	Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
14	Jacksonville Jaguars	Cleveland Browns at Jacksonville Jaguars	83%	JAX -7.5	Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
13	Buffalo Bills	Buffalo Bills at Houston Texans	80%	BUF -1.5	Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
12	Los Angeles Chargers	Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Chargers	80%	LAC -10.5	Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
11	New England Patriots	New England Patriots at Seattle Seahawks	71%	SEA -3.5	Wed, Sep 9 · 8:20 PM ET
10	Dallas Cowboys	Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants	63%	DAL -2.5	Sun, Sep 13 · 8:20 PM ET
9	Indianapolis Colts	Baltimore Ravens at Indianapolis Colts	62%	BAL -3.5	Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
8	Philadelphia Eagles	Washington Commanders at Philadelphia Eagles	62%	PHI -4.5	Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
7	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Cincinnati Bengals	59%	CIN -3.5	Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
6	Denver Broncos	Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs	59%	KC -3	Mon, Sep 14 · 8:15 PM ET
5	Atlanta Falcons	Atlanta Falcons at Pittsburgh Steelers	58%	PIT -3	Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
4	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears at Carolina Panthers	57%	CHI -2.5	Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
3	Miami Dolphins	Miami Dolphins at Las Vegas Raiders	55%	LV -3.5	Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
2	Green Bay Packers	Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings	52%	MIN -1.5	Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
1	New York Jets	New York Jets at Tennessee Titans	51%	TEN -1.5	Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET

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