NFL Week 3 Picks & Predictions - 2026

Blitz Odds model picks for all 16 Week 3 games, ranked into a full confidence pool ladder. Win probabilities are adjusted for team rankings, injuries, and home field. Free, no account needed.

Week 3 confidence pool ladder

Assign 16 points to the top row down to 1 point at the bottom - the model's most confident pick first.

Points	Pick	Matchup	Win probability	Spread	Kickoff
16	Buffalo Bills	Los Angeles Chargers at Buffalo Bills	76%	BUF -7	Sun, Sep 27 · 1:00 PM ET
15	Kansas City Chiefs	Kansas City Chiefs at Miami Dolphins	76%	KC -10.5	Sun, Sep 27 · 1:00 PM ET
14	Los Angeles Rams	Los Angeles Rams at Denver Broncos	73%	LAR -1.5	Sun, Sep 27 · 8:20 PM ET
13	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Minnesota Vikings at Tampa Bay Buccaneers	72%	MIN -1.5	Sun, Sep 27 · 4:05 PM ET
12	New York Jets	New York Jets at Detroit Lions	69%	DET -6.5	Sun, Sep 27 · 1:00 PM ET
11	Chicago Bears	Philadelphia Eagles at Chicago Bears	62%	PHI -3.5	Mon, Sep 28 · 8:15 PM ET
10	Tennessee Titans	Tennessee Titans at New York Giants	61%	NYG -2.5	Sun, Sep 27 · 1:00 PM ET
9	Cincinnati Bengals	Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers	58%	CIN -3.5	Sun, Sep 27 · 1:00 PM ET
8	Jacksonville Jaguars	New England Patriots at Jacksonville Jaguars	57%	JAX -3	Sun, Sep 27 · 1:00 PM ET
7	Baltimore Ravens	Baltimore Ravens at Dallas Cowboys	55%	BAL -3	Sun, Sep 27 · 4:25 PM ET
6	Las Vegas Raiders	Las Vegas Raiders at New Orleans Saints	55%	NO -3.5	Sun, Sep 27 · 4:25 PM ET
5	Atlanta Falcons	Atlanta Falcons at Green Bay Packers	54%	GB -5.5	Thu, Sep 24 · 8:15 PM ET
4	Cleveland Browns	Carolina Panthers at Cleveland Browns	54%	CAR -1.5	Sun, Sep 27 · 1:00 PM ET
3	Houston Texans	Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts	53%	HOU -1.5	Sun, Sep 27 · 1:00 PM ET
2	Seattle Seahawks	Seattle Seahawks at Washington Commanders	53%	SEA -8.5	Sun, Sep 27 · 1:00 PM ET
1	San Francisco 49ers	Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers	50%	SF -7.5	Sun, Sep 27 · 4:05 PM ET

Results

The model went 9-7 on Week 3 games played so far.

• Los Angeles Chargers 16 - 24 Buffalo Bills - picked Buffalo Bills (correct)
• Kansas City Chiefs 24 - 10 Miami Dolphins - picked Kansas City Chiefs (correct)
• Los Angeles Rams 26 - 30 Denver Broncos - picked Los Angeles Rams (incorrect)
• Minnesota Vikings 23 - 16 Tampa Bay Buccaneers - picked Tampa Bay Buccaneers (incorrect)
• New York Jets 24 - 31 Detroit Lions - picked New York Jets (incorrect)
• Philadelphia Eagles 7 - 27 Chicago Bears - picked Chicago Bears (correct)
• Tennessee Titans 7 - 12 New York Giants - picked Tennessee Titans (incorrect)
• Cincinnati Bengals 27 - 30 Pittsburgh Steelers - picked Cincinnati Bengals (incorrect)
• New England Patriots 6 - 35 Jacksonville Jaguars - picked Jacksonville Jaguars (correct)
• Baltimore Ravens 34 - 31 Dallas Cowboys - picked Baltimore Ravens (correct)
• Las Vegas Raiders 35 - 27 New Orleans Saints - picked Las Vegas Raiders (correct)
• Atlanta Falcons 35 - 14 Green Bay Packers - picked Atlanta Falcons (correct)
• Carolina Panthers 18 - 21 Cleveland Browns - picked Cleveland Browns (correct)
• Houston Texans 17 - 19 Indianapolis Colts - picked Houston Texans (incorrect)
• Seattle Seahawks 31 - 33 Washington Commanders - picked Seattle Seahawks (incorrect)
• Arizona Cardinals 30 - 36 San Francisco 49ers - picked San Francisco 49ers (correct)

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